Winter Garden: AGI is here (and I feel fine)

AI dis­cov­ered wholly new pro­teins before it could count the ‘r’s in ‘strawberry’, which makes it nei­ther vapor­ware nor a demigod but a secret third thing.

Roughly & conceptually, trans­for­ma­tive AI is AI that pre­cip­i­tates a tran­si­tion com­pa­rable to (or more sig­nif­i­cant than) the agri­cul­tural or indus­trial revolution.

Q: Which one is the trans­for­ma­tive AI ?

A: The one that trans­forms things !

AGI is here (and I feel fine)

I pro­pose to begin this year with an acknowl­edg­ment that is strategic but/and also sin­cere. I’ll make my sin­cere case first, then explain its strategic logic.

AGI is here ! When exactly in 2025 it arrived, we’ll never really know; whether it was one com­pany’s Pro or another com­pany’s Pro Max (Eddie Bauer Edition) that tip-toed first across the line … a mystery.

What do I mean by AGI ? Many com­peting def­i­n­i­tions depend on words that them­selves have com­peting def­i­n­i­tions; these words include “valuable”, “work”, & “human”.

Jas­mine Sun’s 2025 survey of AGI inter­pre­ta­tions is required reading on this subject, & not only for her immortal line …

… yet in the end Jas­mine leaves the ques­tion open, & I’d prefer